Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 4, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York

Boston Bruins 2, New York Rangers 3

Away

Boston Bruins

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

NYR winsBOS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
BOS01201125228
NYR1911719335

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 9:58NYRAles KotalikPPAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Ryan Callahan · Slap, 0.10 xG0–1
  2. P2 7:34NYRErik ChristensenAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Michael Del Zotto · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–2
  3. P3 14:33BOSMatt HunwickSHAssists: Blake Wheeler, David Krejci · Backhand, 0.11 xG1–2
  4. P3 15:59BOSBlake WheelerAssists: Michael Ryder, Matt Hunwick · Snap, 0.06 xG2–2
  5. P3 18:31NYRChris HigginsGWGAssists: Chris Drury, Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–3
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 3:13BOSDaniel Paille: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 7:31BOSVladimir Sobotka: Holding2 min
  3. P1 8:23BOSDennis Wideman: Hooking2 min · PPG
  4. P1 9:58BOSVladimir Sobotka: Hooking2 min
  5. P1 17:30NYRSean Avery: Too many men on the ice2 min
  6. P2 14:26NYRMarian Gaborik: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  7. P3 3:57NYRMichal Rozsival: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 13:28BOSZdeno Chara: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

BOS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYR
43% to win57% to win
← BOS attackNYR attack →
  1. P1 20:00Christensen won the faceoff against Bergeron
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

BOSNYR
28Shots on goal35
3.2Expected goals4.2
68Shot attempts61
32Faceoffs won31
3Power plays5
10Penalty minutes6
38Hits35
13Blocked shots23
5Giveaways7
3Takeaways11

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYR 4.2 xGBOS 3.2 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYRBOS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 65/100 · #418 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.54 · 5 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 51% (winner's lowest chance)
BOS 100%5050%50NYR 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +43 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 64% of the time.

NYR winsBOS wins

Simulated goal difference (NYR − BOS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).