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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 4, 2010·HP Pavilion at San Jose, San Jose

Los Angeles Kings 6, San Jose Sharks 2

Away

Los Angeles Kings

6

Final

Home

San Jose Sharks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 95% of the time.

SJS winsLAK wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
LAK3112514620
SJS014017216247

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 15:37LAKMichal HandzusAssists: Rob Scuderi, Drew Doughty · Wrap-around, 0.13 xG1–0
  2. P1 18:29LAKOscar MollerPPAssists: Michal Handzus, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.06 xG2–0
  3. P1 19:02LAKAnze KopitarPPGWGAssists: Drew Doughty, Jarret Stoll · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–0
  4. P2 16:28LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.03 xG4–0
  5. P2 16:42LAKWayne SimmondsAssists: Brad Richardson · Wrist, 0.17 xG5–0
  6. P3 0:13LAKScott ParseUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG6–0
  7. P3 3:21SJSDouglas MurrayPPAssists: Scott Nichol, Jed Ortmeyer · Slap, 0.05 xG6–1
  8. P3 13:00SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Joe Thornton, Ryane Clowe · Wrist, 0.08 xG6–2
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 3:49LAKBrad Richardson: Holding2 min
  2. P1 16:49SJSJoe Thornton: Slashing2 min · PPG
  3. P1 18:29SJSPatrick Marleau: Throwing equipment2 min · PPG
  4. P2 2:14LAKScott Parse: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 7:16SJSPatrick Marleau: Hooking2 min
  6. P2 11:04LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
  7. P2 15:24SJSDouglas Murray: Interference2 min · PPG
  8. P3 1:24LAKSean O'Donnell: Tripping2 min · PPG
  9. P3 7:16LAKMatt Greene: Holding2 min
  10. P3 14:34SJSBrad Staubitz: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

LAK00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0SJS
43% to win57% to win
← LAK attackSJS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Thornton
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

LAKSJS
20Shots on goal47
1.8Expected goals5.7
42Shot attempts77
23Faceoffs won26
5Power plays5
10Penalty minutes10
13Hits19
16Blocked shots12
13Giveaways16
4Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

SJS 5.7 xGLAK 1.8 xG
0123456P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

SJSLAK

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.

Excitement 60/100 · #494 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.64 · 5 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 42% (winner's lowest chance)
LAK 100%5050%50SJS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +18 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 95% of the time.

SJS winsLAK wins

Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).