Tue, Jan 5, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington
Montréal Canadiens 2, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 03 | 110 | 113 | 226 |
| WSH | 011 | 317 | 115 | 443 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 5:14WSHTomas FleischmannPPUnassisted · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 14:03MTLJosh GorgesUnassisted · Slap, 0.02 xG1–1
- P2 15:45WSHEric FehrAssists: Brooks Laich, Mike Green · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–2
- P2 16:21WSHAlexander SeminGWGAssists: Tom Poti, Tomas Fleischmann · Snap, 0.05 xG1–3
- P3 11:10MTLBenoit PouliotPPAssists: Marc-Andre Bergeron, Andrei Markov · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–3
- P3 17:58WSHAlexander SeminAssists: Tomas Fleischmann · Slap, 0.03 xG2–4
Penalties (9)
- P1 17:56MTLBenoit Pouliot: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:16MTLJaroslav Spacek: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:14WSHJason Chimera: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:21WSHTom Poti: Roughing2 min
- P2 16:21MTLScott Gomez: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:32MTLMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:13MTLRoman Hamrlik: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:44WSHMike Knuble: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 13:30WSHMike Knuble: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gomez won the faceoff against Backstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 77% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).