Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 7, 2010·Philips Arena, Atlanta

New York Rangers 1, Atlanta Thrashers 2 (SO)

Away

New York Rangers

1

Final

Shootout

Home

Atlanta Thrashers

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 58% of the time.

ATL winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
NYR0611307041130
ATL01201216022232

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 2:49NYREnver LisinAssists: Marc Staal, Chad Johnson · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–0
  2. P3 6:06ATLJim SlaterAssists: Pavel Kubina, Eric Boulton · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. ATL Maxim Afinogenov stopped
  2. 2. NYR Erik Christensen stopped
  3. 3. ATL Vyacheslav Kozlov scored
  4. 4. NYR Ryan Callahan stopped
  5. 5. ATL Ilya Kovalchuk stopped
  6. 6. NYR Marian Gaborik scored
  7. 7. ATL Rich Peverley stopped
  8. 8. NYR Ales Kotalik stopped
  9. 9. ATL Bryan Little scored
  10. 10. NYR Michael Del Zotto stopped
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 1:57ATLMaxim Afinogenov: Roughing2 min
  2. P1 1:57NYRSean Avery: Roughing2 min
  3. P1 2:54ATLToby Enstrom: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 17:52NYRMichael Del Zotto: Holding2 min
  5. P2 0:39ATLEvander Kane: Holding2 min
  6. P2 8:52ATLChris Thorburn: Tripping2 min
  7. P2 14:26ATLEvander Kane: Roughing2 min
  8. P2 14:26NYRArtem Anisimov: Roughing2 min
  9. P3 10:39NYRAles Kotalik: Tripping2 min
  10. OT 3:51ATLAnssi Salmela: Roughing2 min
  11. OT 3:51NYRChris Higgins: Slashing2 min
  12. OT 3:51NYRChris Higgins: Roughing2 min
  13. OT 3:51ATLAnssi Salmela: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0ATL
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackATL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Reasoner won the faceoff against Christensen
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRATL
30Shots on goal32
2.2Expected goals2.7
48Shot attempts58
32Faceoffs won30
3Power plays2
12Penalty minutes14
20Hits15
18Blocked shots11
3Giveaways11
14Takeaways14

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

ATL 2.7 xGNYR 2.2 xG
-0.500.511.522.53P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

ATLNYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

ATL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ATL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 40/100 · #731 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.38 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 24% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50ATL 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +28 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Atlanta Thrashers win this game 58% of the time.

ATL winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (ATL − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).