Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 7, 2010·General Motors Place, Vancouver

Phoenix Coyotes 0, Vancouver Canucks 4

Away

Phoenix Coyotes

0

Final

Home

Vancouver Canucks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.

VAN winsPHX wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
PHX0601609031
VAN1111528424

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 11:35VANAlexandre BurrowsGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Sami Salo · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
  2. P2 19:56VANMikael SamuelssonAssists: Ryan Kesler, Shane O'Brien · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
  3. P3 1:01VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–3
  4. P3 4:56VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Henrik Sedin, Daniel Sedin · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–4
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 19:20VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min
  2. P2 2:19PHXRobert Lang: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 5:13VANKyle Wellwood: Too many men on the ice2 min
  4. P2 13:56VANShane O'Brien: Cross checking2 min
  5. P3 6:16PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
  6. P3 6:16VANDarcy Hordichuk: Fighting5 min
  7. P3 9:58PHXVernon Fiddler: Fighting5 min
  8. P3 9:58VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
  9. P3 10:06VANMason Raymond: Cross checking2 min
  10. P3 13:55VANAlexandre Bolduc: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHX00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0VAN
43% to win57% to win
← PHX attackVAN attack →
  1. P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Hanzal
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHXVAN
31Shots on goal24
2.2Expected goals2.4
49Shot attempts47
25Faceoffs won29
5Power plays1
12Penalty minutes20
15Hits20
12Blocked shots5
4Giveaways11
4Takeaways12

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

VAN 2.4 xGPHX 2.2 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

VANPHX

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.

Excitement 5/100 · #1171 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.58 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 55% (winner's lowest chance)
PHX 100%5050%50VAN 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.

VAN winsPHX wins

Simulated goal difference (VAN − PHX), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).