Thu, Jan 7, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 2, Los Angeles Kings 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 85% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 113 | 06 | 15 | 224 |
| LAK | 010 | 027 | 115 | 152 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 19:59DETDaniel ClearyAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Brian Rafalski · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–0
- P3 15:38LAKRyan SmythPPAssists: Dustin Brown, Jarret Stoll · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–1
- P3 19:42DETDarren HelmGWGAssists: Kris Draper · Wrist, 0.12 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
- P1 17:55LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P2 4:11DETPavel Datsyuk: Interference2 min
- P2 17:46DETTodd Bertuzzi: Hooking2 min
- P3 2:43LAKRaitis Ivanans: Holding2 min
- P3 3:24DETPavel Datsyuk: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:35DETJustin Abdelkader: Roughing2 min
- P3 9:35LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
- P3 15:19DETTodd Bertuzzi: Hooking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Datsyuk
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 85% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).