Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 9, 2010·TD Garden, Boston

New York Rangers 3, Boston Bruins 1

Away

New York Rangers

3

Final

Home

Boston Bruins

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

BOS winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NYR1712116334
BOS01103116130

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 7:56NYRMichael Del ZottoAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Dan Girardi · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–0
  2. P2 10:16NYRBrandon DubinskyGWGAssists: Erik Christensen · Wrist, 0.17 xG2–0
  3. P3 0:37NYRErik ChristensenAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Marian Gaborik · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–0
  4. P3 16:16BOSDennis WidemanAssists: Zdeno Chara, David Krejci · Slap, 0.02 xG3–1
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 2:01BOSShawn Thornton: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 2:01NYRDonald Brashear: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 13:43BOSBlake Wheeler: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 5:25BOSMiroslav Satan: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 7:35BOSSteve Begin: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 15:26BOSShawn Thornton: Too many men on the ice2 min
  7. P3 1:27NYRChris Higgins: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  8. P3 7:37NYRErik Christensen: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0BOS
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackBOS attack →
  1. P1 20:00Krejci won the faceoff against Christensen
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRBOS
34Shots on goal30
3.7Expected goals1.9
49Shot attempts52
29Faceoffs won31
4Power plays2
9Penalty minutes13
34Hits29
14Blocked shots7
0Giveaways6
1Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

BOS 1.9 xGNYR 3.7 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

BOSNYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

BOS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line BOS is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 16/100 · #1038 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.70 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50BOS 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 81% of the time.

BOS winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (BOS − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).