Mon, Jan 11, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Minnesota Wild 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PIT | 112 | 116 | 110 | 338 |
| MIN | 18 | 28 | 18 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:44PITSidney CrosbyAssists: Pascal Dupuis, Mark Eaton · Deflected, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 11:40MINEric BelangerAssists: Guillaume Latendresse · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 0:54PITPascal DupuisAssists: Bill Guerin, Sidney Crosby · Snap, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 1:45MINMartin HavlatAssists: Guillaume Latendresse · Snap, 0.16 xG2–2
- P2 12:03MINCal ClutterbuckAssists: Guillaume Latendresse, Eric Belanger · Tip-in, 0.07 xG2–3
- P3 1:04PITMark EatonAssists: Sidney Crosby, Pascal Dupuis · Wrist, 0.01 xG3–3
- P3 6:13MINGuillaume LatendresseGWGAssists: Kyle Brodziak, Nick Schultz · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 15:40MINAndrew Ebbett: Tripping2 min
- P1 17:08PITJordan Staal: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 17:53MINAntti Miettinen: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:20MINDerek Boogaard: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:10MINKim Johnsson: High sticking2 min
- P2 9:45MINGuillaume Latendresse: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P2 18:02PITJay McKee: Hooking2 min
- P2 0:00MINShane Hnidy: Roughing2 min
- P2 0:00PITMax Talbot: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:21PITSergei Gonchar: Interference5 min
- P3 13:14MINShane Hnidy: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Crosby
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it PIT. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − PIT), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).