Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 11, 2010·General Motors Place, Vancouver

Nashville Predators 3, Vancouver Canucks 2

Away

Nashville Predators

3

Final

Home

Vancouver Canucks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 57% of the time.

VAN winsNSH wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NSH280819325
VAN11311108232

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 2:02NSHJoel WardSHUnassisted · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–0
  2. P1 16:42VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
  3. P1 19:32NSHRyan JonesPPAssists: David Legwand, Cody Franson · Deflected, 0.17 xG2–1
  4. P2 1:30VANAlexandre BurrowsPPAssists: Alexander Edler, Daniel Sedin · Deflected, 0.14 xG2–2
  5. P3 15:57NSHShea WeberPPGWGAssists: Ryan Suter, Steve Sullivan · Slap, 0.05 xG3–2
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 0:36NSHDavid Legwand: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 18:45VANHenrik Sedin: Hooking2 min · PPG
  3. P2 1:06NSHDan Ellis: Roughing2 min · PPG
  4. P2 8:30VANAlexandre Bolduc: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 18:10VANHenrik Sedin: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  6. P3 3:26VANAlexandre Burrows: Diving2 min
  7. P3 6:15NSHFrancis Bouillon: Delaying game2 min
  8. P3 9:21VANWillie Mitchell: Interference2 min
  9. P3 15:11NSHRyan Jones: Hooking2 min
  10. P3 15:15VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min · PPG
  11. P3 15:33VANHenrik Sedin: Tripping2 min
  12. P3 19:56VANAlexandre Burrows: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  13. P3 19:56VANAlexandre Burrows: Misconduct10 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NSH00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0VAN
43% to win57% to win
← NSH attackVAN attack →
  1. Press play, or drag along the timeline.
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NSHVAN
25Shots on goal32
1.9Expected goals2.3
45Shot attempts60
24Faceoffs won34
8Power plays4
8Penalty minutes26
13Hits19
13Blocked shots10
4Giveaways7
10Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

VAN 2.3 xGNSH 1.9 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

VANNSH

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.

Excitement 55/100 · #548 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.69 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 42% (winner's lowest chance)
NSH 100%5050%50VAN 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +39 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 57% of the time.

VAN winsNSH wins

Simulated goal difference (VAN − NSH), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).