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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 11, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

San Jose Sharks 2, Los Angeles Kings 1

Away

San Jose Sharks

2

Final

Home

Los Angeles Kings

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.

LAK winsSJS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
SJS11411507236
LAK0917018134

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:54SJSDan BoyleUnassisted · Deflected, 0.01 xG1–0
  2. P2 4:40SJSDany HeatleyPPGWGAssists: Joe Thornton, Dan Boyle · Wrist, 0.29 xG2–0
  3. P2 5:17LAKRandy JonesAssists: Alex Frolov, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.18 xG2–1
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 7:04SJSDan Boyle: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 10:20SJSJoe Thornton: High sticking2 min
  3. P1 18:38LAKSean O'Donnell: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 2:21LAKAlec Martinez: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 3:54LAKJack Johnson: High sticking2 min · PPG
  6. P2 19:07SJSMarc-Edouard Vlasic: Hooking2 min
  7. P3 4:44SJSDan Boyle: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 6:10SJSDouglas Murray: Delaying game puck over glass2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

SJS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← SJS attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Handzus won the faceoff against Thornton
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

SJSLAK
36Shots on goal34
3.4Expected goals3.5
54Shot attempts59
29Faceoffs won30
3Power plays5
10Penalty minutes6
25Hits44
14Blocked shots8
11Giveaways13
4Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 3.5 xGSJS 3.4 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKSJS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 21/100 · #959 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.08 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
SJS 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +17 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 51% of the time.

LAK winsSJS wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − SJS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).