Tue, Jan 12, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Detroit Red Wings 0, New York Islanders 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 79% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 07 | 02 | 07 | 016 |
| NYI | 213 | 213 | 25 | 631 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:11NYIMatt MoulsonGWGAssists: Mark Streit, Frans Nielsen · Snap, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 15:43NYIRob SchrempAssists: Bruno Gervais · Snap, 0.14 xG0–2
- P2 8:07NYIRob SchrempUnassisted · Backhand, 0.26 xG0–3
- P2 16:19NYIMark StreitPPAssists: Josh Bailey, Jack Hillen · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–4
- P3 9:22NYIKyle OkposoAssists: Freddy Meyer, Josh Bailey · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–5
- P3 16:52NYIBruno GervaisAssists: Sean Bergenheim, Richard Park · Slap, 0.03 xG0–6
Penalties (6)
- P2 14:25DETKirk Maltby: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 17:00NYISean Bergenheim: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:33DETPavel Datsyuk: Interference2 min
- P3 5:43DETDoug Janik: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:02NYITrent Hunter: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 19:04NYIAndy Sutton: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Park won the faceoff against Datsyuk
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 79% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).