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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 12, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York

New Jersey Devils 1, New York Rangers 0 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
NJD010012019041145
NYR013018014060051

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. No goals in regulation or overtime.

Shootout

  1. 1. NYR Erik Christensen stopped
  2. 2. NJD Zach Parise stopped
  3. 3. NYR Ales Kotalik stopped
  4. 4. NJD Jamie Langenbrunner stopped
  5. 5. NYR Marian Gaborik stopped
  6. 6. NJD Travis Zajac stopped
  7. 7. NYR Brandon Dubinsky stopped
  8. 8. NJD Patrik Elias scored
Penalties (4)
  1. P2 10:25NJDZach Parise: Holding2 min
  2. P2 12:04NYRErik Christensen: Roughing2 min
  3. P2 12:04NYRBrandon Dubinsky: Slashing2 min
  4. P2 15:34NJDBrian Rolston: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYR
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackNYR attack →
  1. P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Niedermayer
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDNYR
45Shots on goal51
4.6Expected goals4.1
68Shot attempts84
16Faceoffs won29
2Power plays2
4Penalty minutes4
25Hits33
16Blocked shots13
7Giveaways3
6Takeaways8

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYR 4.1 xGNJD 4.6 xG
012345P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYRNJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 8/100 · #1131 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.72 · 0 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50NYR 100%P1P2P3OTEnd

Did the better team win?

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 57% of the time.

NYR winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (NYR − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).