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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 12, 2010·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Columbus Blue Jackets 1, St. Louis Blues 4

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

1

Final

Home

St. Louis Blues

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ05112010127
STL390717423

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 1:54STLB.J. CrombeenAssists: Jay McClement · Wrist, 0.14 xG0–1
  2. P1 16:14STLAlexander SteenPPGWGAssists: Carlo Colaiacovo, Patrik Berglund · Slap, 0.05 xG0–2
  3. P1 16:56STLJay McClementAssists: Barret Jackman, Brad Boyes · Wrist, 0.22 xG0–3
  4. P2 5:38CBJFedor TyutinPPAssists: Anton Stralman, Rick Nash · Snap, 0.07 xG1–3
  5. P3 19:50STLAlexander SteenENAssists: Jay McClement, David Backes · Wrist, 0.60 xG1–4
Penalties (20)
  1. P1 6:32STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 6:32CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 6:54CBJR.J. Umberger: Tripping2 min
  4. P1 9:58CBJAnton Stralman: Boarding2 min
  5. P1 10:55STLDavid Backes: Fighting5 min
  6. P1 10:55CBJRick Nash: Fighting5 min
  7. P1 10:55CBJMike Commodore: Fighting5 min
  8. P1 10:55CBJMike Commodore: Game misconduct10 min
  9. P1 10:55STLErik Johnson: Fighting5 min
  10. P1 10:55STLErik Johnson: Game misconduct10 min
  11. P1 10:55STLDavid Perron: Roughing2 min
  12. P1 15:14CBJFedor Tyutin: Elbowing2 min · PPG
  13. P1 16:59STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
  14. P1 16:59CBJAlexandre Picard: Fighting5 min
  15. P1 19:07STLRoman Polak: Interference2 min
  16. P2 5:05STLRoman Polak: Slashing2 min · PPG
  17. P2 6:39CBJAntoine Vermette: Roughing2 min
  18. P2 6:39STLAlexander Steen: Roughing2 min
  19. P2 6:58STLT.J. Oshie: Hooking2 min
  20. P3 7:27STLKeith Tkachuk: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0STL
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackSTL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Berglund
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJSTL
27Shots on goal23
2.0Expected goals4.3
42Shot attempts44
35Faceoffs won27
5Power plays3
38Penalty minutes42
35Hits31
11Blocked shots10
7Giveaways5
3Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

STL 4.3 xGCBJ 2.0 xG
012345P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

STLCBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 24/100 · #929 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.69 · 5 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50STL 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +14 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 86% of the time.

STL winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (STL − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).