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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2010·United Center, Chicago

Columbus Blue Jackets 0, Chicago Blackhawks 3

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

0

Final

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ0508011024
CHI112112112336

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 1:01CHIBrian CampbellGWGAssists: Kris Versteeg, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Slap, 0.07 xG0–1
  2. P2 16:40CHIDustin ByfuglienAssists: John Madden, Kris Versteeg · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
  3. P3 6:32CHIDuncan KeithAssists: Patrick Sharp, Marian Hossa · Slap, 0.04 xG0–3
Penalties (4)
  1. P1 3:02CHIKris Versteeg: Interference2 min
  2. P1 13:44CBJChris Clark: Slashing2 min
  3. P2 12:48CHIBen Eager: Charging2 min
  4. P2 0:00CBJJared Boll: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Sharp won the faceoff against Pahlsson
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJCHI
24Shots on goal36
2.7Expected goals3.6
46Shot attempts60
20Faceoffs won22
2Power plays2
4Penalty minutes4
22Hits23
13Blocked shots17
5Giveaways9
5Takeaways12

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 3.6 xGCBJ 2.7 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHICBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 3/100 · #1187 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.54 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +14 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 65% of the time.

CHI winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).