Skip to content
Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 14, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

New Jersey Devils 3, Phoenix Coyotes 4

Away

New Jersey Devils

3

Final

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.

PHX winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NJD01121518334
PHX2801210419

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 13:16PHXMatthew LombardiAssists: Keith Yandle, Scottie Upshall · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–1
  2. P1 19:29PHXPeter MuellerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.21 xG0–2
  3. P2 9:31NJDBrian RolstonAssists: Rod Pelley, Mike Mottau · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–2
  4. P2 14:06NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Zach Parise · Slap, 0.06 xG2–2
  5. P3 11:52PHXDaniel WinnikAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Lauri Korpikoski · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–3
  6. P3 13:08PHXZbynek MichalekPPGWGAssists: Robert Lang, Radim Vrbata · Slap, 0.05 xG2–4
  7. P3 15:16NJDDean McAmmondAssists: Brian Rolston, Jamie Langenbrunner · Slap, 0.02 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 15:23NJDMike Mottau: Cross checking2 min
  2. P2 3:43PHXKeith Yandle: Holding2 min
  3. P2 5:17PHXVernon Fiddler: Tripping2 min
  4. P2 5:31NJDTravis Zajac: Hooking2 min
  5. P2 9:42PHXJim Vandermeer: High sticking2 min
  6. P3 3:49NJDMark Fraser: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  7. P3 11:52NJDMark Fraser: High sticking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Lombardi won the faceoff against Niedermayer
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDPHX
34Shots on goal19
2.7Expected goals2.3
64Shot attempts41
24Faceoffs won25
3Power plays4
8Penalty minutes6
20Hits28
10Blocked shots11
3Giveaways5
5Takeaways8

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 2.3 xGNJD 2.7 xG
-0.500.511.522.53P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXNJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 72/100 · #313 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.57 · 7 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 51% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +35 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 58% of the time.

PHX winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).