Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Chicago Blackhawks 6, Columbus Blue Jackets 5

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

6

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 67% of the time.

CBJ winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CHI31009312631
CBJ2921215526

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 2:29CHIAndrew LaddAssists: Patrick Sharp, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.17 xG1–0
  2. P1 7:36CHITroy BrouwerAssists: Patrick Kane, Jonathan Toews · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–0
  3. P1 11:44CBJKristian HuseliusAssists: Jakub Voracek, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
  4. P1 12:08CHIMarian HossaAssists: Andrew Ladd, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–1
  5. P1 18:12CBJRick NashAssists: R.J. Umberger, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–2
  6. P2 3:25CBJKris RussellAssists: Kristian Huselius, Chris Clark · Snap, 0.19 xG3–3
  7. P2 7:12CBJRick NashAssists: Kristian Huselius, Anton Stralman · Snap, 0.06 xG3–4
  8. P3 4:07CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Brian Campbell · Wrist, 0.09 xG4–4
  9. P3 8:29CHIBen EagerAssists: Colin Fraser, Tomas Kopecky · Wrist, 0.06 xG5–4
  10. P3 15:03CHIJonathan ToewsPPGWGAssists: Troy Brouwer, Patrick Kane · Wrist, 0.03 xG6–4
  11. P3 17:38CBJRaffi TorresAssists: R.J. Umberger, Mike Commodore · Backhand, 0.16 xG6–5
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 2:56CBJDerek Dorsett: High sticking2 min
  2. P1 8:17CHIJonathan Toews: Tripping2 min
  3. P1 18:35CHIAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
  4. P2 5:11CHIBrent Seabrook: Interference2 min
  5. P3 0:37CHIAndrew Ladd: Tripping2 min
  6. P3 2:59CBJRaffi Torres: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
  7. P3 14:32CBJRick Nash: Tripping2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Madden
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHICBJ
31Shots on goal26
2.3Expected goals3.2
54Shot attempts50
26Faceoffs won31
3Power plays4
8Penalty minutes6
14Hits27
11Blocked shots15
1Giveaways0
1Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 3.2 xGCHI 2.3 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 97/100 · #22 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.36 · 11 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 21% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +30 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 67% of the time.

CBJ winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).