Sat, Jan 16, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Florida Panthers 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBL | 22 | 00 | 00 | 22 |
| FLA | 33 | 22 | 00 | 55 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:07FLACory StillmanAssists: Steve Reinprecht, Keith Ballard · Other, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 10:28FLACory StillmanAssists: Keith Ballard · Other, 0.06 xG0–2
- P1 11:44TBLAlex TanguayAssists: Vincent Lecavalier · Other, 0.06 xG1–2
- P1 16:31TBLAndrej MeszarosAssists: Jeff Halpern, Vincent Lecavalier · Other, 0.06 xG2–2
- P1 17:03FLABryan AllenGWGAssists: Cory Stillman, Radek Dvorak · Other, 0.06 xG2–3
- P2 5:02FLARostislav OleszAssists: Gregory Campbell, Dominic Moore · Other, 0.06 xG2–4
- P2 12:36FLARostislav OleszAssists: Keith Ballard, Jordan Leopold · Other, 0.06 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:53TBLMattias Ohlund: Slashing2 min
- P1 5:59FLANathan Horton: Hooking2 min
- P1 15:21FLABryan McCabe: Roughing2 min
- P2 8:03TBLMike Lundin: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:45TBLKurtis Foster: Holding2 min
- P2 14:43FLAJason Garrison: High sticking2 min
- P3 3:48FLADominic Moore: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it TBL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − TBL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).