Sun, Jan 17, 2010·Madison Square Garden, New York
Montréal Canadiens 2, New York Rangers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 28 | 02 | 010 | 220 |
| NYR | 09 | 315 | 310 | 634 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:30MTLMichael CammalleriAssists: Tomas Plekanec, Hal Gill · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P1 14:50MTLBrian GiontaPPAssists: Marc-Andre Bergeron, Andrei Markov · Backhand, 0.33 xG2–0
- P2 0:57NYRRyan CallahanAssists: Marian Gaborik, Vinny Prospal · Tip-in, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 8:28NYRBrandon DubinskySHAssists: Ryan Callahan · Backhand, 0.00 xG2–2
- P2 11:04NYRBrandon DubinskyGWGAssists: Vinny Prospal, Marian Gaborik · Slap, 0.20 xG2–3
- P3 4:56NYRRyan CallahanPPAssists: Chris Drury, Michael Del Zotto · Tip-in, 0.18 xG2–4
- P3 12:17NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Marc Staal · Slap, 0.11 xG2–5
- P3 15:49NYRChris DruryAssists: Ryan Callahan · Slap, 0.10 xG2–6
Penalties (24)
- P1 0:11NYRSean Avery: Boarding2 min
- P1 10:37MTLPaul Mara: Holding2 min
- P1 14:38NYRSean Avery: Interference2 min · PPG
- P1 18:49MTLMatt D'Agostini: Interference2 min
- P2 7:54NYRChris Drury: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:54MTLPaul Mara: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 8:20NYRMichal Rozsival: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:48NYRSean Avery: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:48MTLJosh Gorges: Fighting5 min
- P2 11:48NYRAaron Voros: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:48MTLTravis Moen: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:33MTLBenoit Pouliot: Boarding2 min
- P2 15:02NYRWade Redden: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:02MTLBenoit Pouliot: Fighting5 min
- P2 15:02MTLTomas Plekanec: Interference2 min
- P2 15:02MTLMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:02NYREnver Lisin: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:02NYRBrian Boyle: Misconduct10 min
- P2 17:44MTLMatt D'Agostini: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 2:33NYRMichal Rozsival: Tripping2 min
- P3 4:30MTLBenoit Pouliot: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P3 6:13MTLRoman Hamrlik: Slashing2 min
- P3 6:13NYREnver Lisin: Slashing2 min
- P3 16:52NYRArtem Anisimov: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Boyle won the faceoff against Lapierre
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).