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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 18, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale

New Jersey Devils 0, New York Islanders 4

Away

New Jersey Devils

0

Final

Home

New York Islanders

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 94% of the time.

NYI winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NJD070409020
NYI218214014446

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 1:07NYIMatt MoulsonGWGAssists: Frans Nielsen, Trent Hunter · Backhand, 0.28 xG0–1
  2. P1 3:44NYIMark StreitPPAssists: John Tavares, Kyle Okposo · Slap, 0.03 xG0–2
  3. P2 15:42NYIJosh BaileyAssists: Jack Hillen · Tip-in, 0.22 xG0–3
  4. P2 18:05NYIMatt MoulsonAssists: Andy Sutton, Trent Hunter · Slap, 0.09 xG0–4
Penalties (6)
  1. P1 2:57NJDRod Pelley: Delaying game puck over glass2 min · PPG
  2. P1 8:05NJDBryce Salvador: Holding2 min
  3. P1 11:57NJDJohnny Oduya: Tripping2 min
  4. P1 16:06NYIJohn Tavares: Tripping2 min
  5. P3 6:17NYIDoug Weight: Tripping2 min
  6. P3 6:52NJDJamie Langenbrunner: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYI
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackNYI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Park won the faceoff against Niedermayer
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDNYI
20Shots on goal46
1.3Expected goals5.0
65Shot attempts77
25Faceoffs won32
2Power plays4
8Penalty minutes4
22Hits22
22Blocked shots29
19Giveaways14
16Takeaways19

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYI 5.0 xGNJD 1.3 xG
012345P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYINJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 3/100 · #1200 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.49 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50NYI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +14 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 94% of the time.

NYI winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (NYI − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).