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Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 18, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

St. Louis Blues 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

Away

St. Louis Blues

2

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 52% of the time.

CBJ winsSTL wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
STL11411008232
CBJ21011119430

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 1:11STLPaul KariyaPPAssists: T.J. Oshie, Brad Boyes · Slap, 0.05 xG1–0
  2. P1 4:21CBJRaffi TorresAssists: Kris Russell, Mathieu Roy · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
  3. P1 11:45CBJRaffi TorresAssists: Derick Brassard, Mathieu Roy · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–2
  4. P2 3:44STLKeith TkachukAssists: B.J. Crombeen, Erik Johnson · Backhand, 0.11 xG2–2
  5. P2 4:20CBJRick NashPPGWGAssists: R.J. Umberger, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
  6. P3 1:25CBJChris ClarkAssists: Kristian Huselius, Samuel Pahlsson · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 0:30CBJRaffi Torres: Roughing2 min · PPG
  2. P1 16:06CBJAnton Stralman: Cross checking2 min
  3. P2 4:07STLBarret Jackman: Holding2 min · PPG
  4. P2 4:43STLDavid Backes: High sticking2 min
  5. P2 18:00CBJAndrew Murray: Tripping2 min
  6. P3 9:22STLBarret Jackman: Hooking2 min
  7. P3 13:36STLDavid Backes: High sticking2 min
  8. P3 19:45CBJSamuel Pahlsson: Holding the stick2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

STL00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← STL attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Berglund
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

STLCBJ
32Shots on goal30
2.6Expected goals2.5
56Shot attempts59
20Faceoffs won40
4Power plays4
8Penalty minutes8
33Hits36
19Blocked shots14
0Giveaways0
3Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 2.5 xGSTL 2.6 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJSTL

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.

Excitement 45/100 · #679 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.23 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 41% (winner's lowest chance)
STL 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +19 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 52% of the time.

CBJ winsSTL wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − STL), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).