Wed, Jan 20, 2010·Centre Bell, Montreal
St. Louis Blues 4, Montréal Canadiens 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | 311 | 011 | 05 | 11 | 428 |
| MTL | 111 | 09 | 214 | 04 | 338 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:57STLDavid PerronPPAssists: Alexander Steen · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–0
- P1 3:35STLPaul KariyaAssists: David Backes, T.J. Oshie · Wrist, 0.27 xG2–0
- P1 7:38MTLBenoit PouliotPPAssists: Tomas Plekanec, Marc-Andre Bergeron · Wrist, 0.42 xG2–1
- P1 19:47STLAlexander SteenAssists: Jay McClement, T.J. Oshie · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–1
- P3 9:11MTLBenoit PouliotAssists: Scott Gomez · Wrist, 0.04 xG3–2
- P3 19:27MTLScott GomezAssists: Jaroslav Spacek, Brian Gionta · Tip-in, 0.17 xG3–3
- OT 3:19STLAndy McDonaldGWGAssists: Paul Kariya · Wrist, 0.05 xG4–3
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:40MTLTravis Moen: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 1:40STLB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:08MTLHal Gill: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 7:30STLCam Janssen: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 7:30MTLRoman Hamrlik: Roughing2 min
- P1 7:30STLTy Conklin: Goalie leave crease2 min
- P1 16:44MTLJaroslav Spacek: Interference2 min
- P2 6:50STLPaul Kariya: High sticking2 min
- P2 16:53MTLHal Gill: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:37MTLRoman Hamrlik: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 19:43STLB.J. Crombeen: Interference2 min
- P3 15:14STLB.J. Crombeen: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Plekanec won the faceoff against Tkachuk
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MTL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MTL is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MTL − STL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).