Thu, Jan 21, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Buffalo Sabres 3, Los Angeles Kings 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF | 011 | 28 | 19 | 01 | 1 | 329 |
| LAK | 110 | 112 | 15 | 02 | 2 | 429 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 12:28LAKBrad RichardsonAssists: Drew Doughty, Wayne Simmonds · Tip-in, 0.09 xG0–1
- P2 0:22BUFClarke MacArthurAssists: Paul Gaustad, Toni Lydman · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 9:47BUFThomas VanekPPAssists: Tim Connolly, Jason Pominville · Tip-in, 0.27 xG2–1
- P2 19:05LAKSean O'DonnellAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Slap, 0.02 xG2–2
- P3 1:07BUFCraig RivetAssists: Jason Pominville, Tim Connolly · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P3 9:03LAKRyan SmythAssists: Jarret Stoll, Dustin Brown · Tip-in, 0.10 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
- 2. BUF Drew Stafford scored
- 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
- 4. BUF Jason Pominville stopped
- 5. LAK Dustin Brown scored
Penalties (6)
- P1 2:02LAKBrad Richardson: High sticking2 min
- P1 8:14LAKRyan Smyth: Hooking2 min
- P1 9:13BUFDerek Roy: Hooking2 min
- P2 9:13LAKBrandon Segal: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P2 11:41BUFAdam Mair: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 17:00BUFChris Butler: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gaustad won the faceoff against Handzus
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it BUF. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − BUF), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).