Fri, Jan 22, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver
Nashville Predators 1, Colorado Avalanche 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 012 | 15 | 013 | 130 |
| COL | 14 | 112 | 07 | 223 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:46COLMatt DuchenePPAssists: Paul Stastny, John-Michael Liles · Tip-in, 0.29 xG0–1
- P2 7:25COLBrandon YipPPGWGAssists: Darcy Tucker, Ryan Stoa · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
- P2 8:47NSHCody FransonPPAssists: Patric Hornqvist, Jason Arnott · Snap, 0.04 xG1–2
Penalties (18)
- P1 2:00COLJohn-Michael Liles: Slashing2 min
- P1 11:41NSHWade Belak: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 11:41COLDavid Koci: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:56NSHRyan Suter: Cross checking2 min
- P1 13:33NSHSteve Sullivan: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:12NSHKevin Klein: High sticking double minor4 min
- P1 19:23COLWojtek Wolski: Slashing2 min
- P1 19:23COLWojtek Wolski: Fighting5 min
- P1 19:23NSHSteve Sullivan: Fighting5 min
- P2 5:43NSHWade Belak: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:18COLCody McLeod: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 11:45NSHPatric Hornqvist: Tripping2 min
- P2 14:19NSHFrancis Bouillon: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:39COLTJ Galiardi: Roughing2 min
- P3 11:23COLKyle Cumiskey: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 12:29NSHPatric Hornqvist: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 15:46NSHRyan Jones: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:26COLPaul Stastny: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Legwand won the faceoff against Duchene
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (COL − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).