Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 23, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale

New Jersey Devils 4, New York Islanders 2

Away

New Jersey Devils

4

Final

Home

New York Islanders

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.

NYI winsNJD wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NJD11311214428
NYI0521403222

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:52NJDJamie LangenbrunnerAssists: Travis Zajac, Bryce Salvador · Slap, 0.14 xG1–0
  2. P2 9:34NYIKyle OkposoPPAssists: Mark Streit, John Tavares · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
  3. P2 11:36NYIJack HillenPPAssists: Kyle Okposo, Rob Schremp · Tip-in, 0.03 xG1–2
  4. P2 19:28NJDZach ParisePPAssists: Travis Zajac, Jamie Langenbrunner · Wrist, 0.03 xG2–2
  5. P3 13:11NJDBryce SalvadorGWGAssists: Rob Niedermayer · Snap, 0.02 xG3–2
  6. P3 19:14NJDZach PariseENUnassisted · Snap, 0.52 xG4–2
Penalties (5)
  1. P1 8:36NJDTravis Zajac: Slashing2 min
  2. P2 0:57NJDAndy Greene: Holding2 min
  3. P2 9:15NJDColin White: Boarding5 min · PPG
  4. P2 9:15NJDColin White: Game misconduct10 min
  5. P2 18:21NYIBruno Gervais: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NJD00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NYI
43% to win57% to win
← NJD attackNYI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Park won the faceoff against McAmmond
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NJDNYI
28Shots on goal22
2.0Expected goals3.3
61Shot attempts60
23Faceoffs won30
1Power plays5
19Penalty minutes2
23Hits21
22Blocked shots26
10Giveaways17
14Takeaways13

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NYI 3.3 xGNJD 2.0 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NYINJD

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.

Excitement 50/100 · #608 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.58 · 6 goals in reachComeback index 24% (winner's lowest chance)
NJD 100%5050%50NYI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +35 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 73% of the time.

NYI winsNJD wins

Simulated goal difference (NYI − NJD), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).