Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 23, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Columbus Blue Jackets 2, Minnesota Wild 4

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

2

Final

Home

Minnesota Wild

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.

MIN winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ090827224
MIN1929110428

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:41MINMikko KoivuAssists: Antti Miettinen, Andrew Brunette · Snap, 0.01 xG0–1
  2. P2 1:26MINMikko KoivuUnassisted · Wrist, 0.07 xG0–2
  3. P2 4:18MINEric BelangerGWGAssists: Owen Nolan · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–3
  4. P3 18:52MINRobbie EarlAssists: Shane Hnidy, Martin Havlat · Snap, 0.10 xG0–4
  5. P3 19:38CBJRick NashAssists: Jan Hejda · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–4
  6. P3 19:56CBJAntoine VermetteAssists: Mike Commodore, Rick Nash · Slap, 0.03 xG2–4
Penalties (13)
  1. P1 4:59MINEric Belanger: Slashing2 min
  2. P1 10:49CBJMike Commodore: Interference2 min
  3. P2 4:46CBJJared Boll: Fighting5 min
  4. P2 4:46MINDerek Boogaard: Fighting5 min
  5. P2 5:15CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
  6. P2 5:15CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
  7. P2 9:56CBJKristian Huselius: Tripping2 min
  8. P3 9:10CBJRick Nash: Roughing2 min
  9. P3 9:10MINNick Schultz: Fighting5 min
  10. P3 9:10CBJRick Nash: Fighting5 min
  11. P3 13:24MINMarek Zidlicky: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  12. P3 19:24CBJDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
  13. P3 19:24MINBrent Burns: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0MIN
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackMIN attack →
  1. P1 20:00Pahlsson won the faceoff against Belanger
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJMIN
24Shots on goal28
1.3Expected goals1.9
47Shot attempts50
31Faceoffs won27
2Power plays5
22Penalty minutes16
29Hits26
12Blocked shots11
5Giveaways4
1Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

MIN 1.9 xGCBJ 1.3 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

MINCBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 60/100 · #503 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.52 · 5 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50MIN 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +15 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 63% of the time.

MIN winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (MIN − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).