Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Jan 25, 2010·Pengrowth Saddledome, Calgary

St. Louis Blues 2, Calgary Flames 0

Away

St. Louis Blues

2

Final

Home

Calgary Flames

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 69% of the time.

CGY winsSTL wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
STL0911218229
CGY07012015034

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 18:42STLPatrik BerglundGWGAssists: Barret Jackman, Roman Polak · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
  2. P3 11:21STLDavid PerronAssists: Andy McDonald, Darryl Sydor · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–0
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 2:17CGYBrian McGrattan: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 2:17STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 4:23STLAlexander Steen: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 16:40CGYOlli Jokinen: Tripping2 min
  5. P2 3:12STLCam Janssen: Fighting5 min
  6. P2 3:12CGYBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 9:00CGYDaymond Langkow: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  8. P3 5:05STLKeith Tkachuk: Too many men on the ice2 min
  9. P3 6:41STLEric Brewer: Roughing2 min
  10. P3 6:41CGYRene Bourque: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

STL00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CGY
43% to win57% to win
← STL attackCGY attack →
  1. P1 20:00Oshie won the faceoff against Langkow
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

STLCGY
29Shots on goal34
2.2Expected goals3.4
51Shot attempts72
31Faceoffs won30
2Power plays2
16Penalty minutes16
15Hits16
20Blocked shots9
6Giveaways16
14Takeaways8

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CGY 3.4 xGSTL 2.2 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CGYSTL

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CGY's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CGY is favoured, below it STL. Dots are goals.

Excitement 10/100 · #1104 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.78 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 42% (winner's lowest chance)
STL 100%5050%50CGY 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +25 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 69% of the time.

CGY winsSTL wins

Simulated goal difference (CGY − STL), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).