Tue, Jan 26, 2010·Nassau Veterans Memorial Coliseum, Uniondale
Washington Capitals 7, New York Islanders 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 57% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSH | 412 | 213 | 18 | 733 |
| NYI | 112 | 18 | 011 | 231 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:05WSHBrendan MorrisonAssists: John Erskine · Slap, 0.02 xG1–0
- P1 4:49WSHAlexander SeminUnassisted · Snap, 0.09 xG2–0
- P1 6:03NYIRob SchrempPPAssists: Doug Weight, Trent Hunter · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–1
- P1 18:13WSHMike KnublePPGWGAssists: Tomas Fleischmann, Nicklas Backstrom · Backhand, 0.34 xG3–1
- P1 19:54WSHAlexander SeminUnassisted · Backhand, 0.15 xG4–1
- P2 2:36WSHJohn ErskineAssists: Eric Fehr, Jason Chimera · Wrist, 0.07 xG5–1
- P2 9:35NYIKyle OkposoAssists: John Tavares, Josh Bailey · Snap, 0.19 xG5–2
- P2 13:58WSHJason ChimeraAssists: Brendan Morrison, Eric Fehr · Snap, 0.05 xG6–2
- P3 14:52WSHBrooks LaichAssists: Tomas Fleischmann · Wrist, 0.24 xG7–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:00WSHBrendan Morrison: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:40WSHMike Green: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P1 11:29WSHAlexander Semin: Holding2 min
- P1 17:20NYISean Bergenheim: Holding2 min · PPG
- P2 5:18WSHTomas Fleischmann: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:54WSHTomas Fleischmann: Tripping2 min
- P3 9:26NYIAndrew MacDonald: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Fleischmann won the faceoff against Park
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYI is favoured, below it WSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 57% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYI − WSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).