Wed, Jan 27, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Detroit Red Wings 2, Minnesota Wild 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 212 | 04 | 012 | 228 |
| MIN | 38 | 08 | 29 | 525 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:54MINAntti MiettinenPPAssists: Andrew Brunette, Mikko Koivu · Snap, 0.14 xG0–1
- P1 4:46DETPavel DatsyukAssists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Daniel Cleary · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–1
- P1 16:47MINAntti MiettinenAssists: Andrew Brunette · Slap, 0.09 xG1–2
- P1 17:14DETPavel DatsyukAssists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Daniel Cleary · Tip-in, 0.09 xG2–2
- P1 17:40MINAndrew EbbettGWGAssists: Greg Zanon · Deflected, 0.08 xG2–3
- P3 3:42MINGuillaume LatendresseAssists: Eric Belanger, Brent Burns · Slap, 0.04 xG2–4
- P3 4:53MINMartin HavlatPPAssists: Mikko Koivu, Marek Zidlicky · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–5
Penalties (12)
- P1 1:19DETNiklas Kronwall: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 6:36DETDarren Helm: Holding2 min
- P2 11:54MINMarek Zidlicky: High sticking2 min
- P2 17:35DETTodd Bertuzzi: Interference2 min
- P3 2:21MINMarek Zidlicky: Hooking2 min
- P3 3:05DETDaniel Cleary: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 5:31DETJustin Abdelkader: Roughing2 min
- P3 5:31MINBrent Burns: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:29DETBrian Rafalski: Roughing2 min
- P3 14:08DETBrad May: Hooking2 min
- P3 0:00DETJustin Abdelkader: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 0:00MINCal Clutterbuck: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Filppula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).