Thu, Jan 28, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver
Minnesota Wild 1, Colorado Avalanche 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 59% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 09 | 010 | 17 | 126 |
| COL | 06 | 011 | 012 | 029 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 15:11MINMartin HavlatGWGAssists: Kyle Brodziak, Marek Zidlicky · Backhand, 0.13 xG1–0
Penalties (7)
- P1 2:43COLKyle Quincey: Interference2 min
- P1 9:01COLKyle Cumiskey: High sticking2 min
- P2 6:03COLCody McLeod: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P2 10:58COLDarcy Tucker: Boarding2 min
- P3 0:52COLTJ Galiardi: High sticking2 min
- P3 5:16MINKim Johnsson: Holding2 min
- P3 17:31MINGuillaume Latendresse: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Koivu won the faceoff against Stastny
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 59% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (COL − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).