Fri, Jan 29, 2010·Verizon Center, Washington
Florida Panthers 1, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 010 | 19 | 017 | 136 |
| WSH | 112 | 114 | 214 | 440 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:26WSHNicklas BackstromPPAssists: Mike Knuble, Mike Green · Wrist, 0.47 xG0–1
- P2 4:22FLAStephen WeissAssists: Cory Stillman, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 4:47WSHMike KnubleGWGAssists: Alex Ovechkin, Nicklas Backstrom · Wrist, 0.48 xG1–2
- P3 4:46WSHJeff SchultzAssists: Alexander Semin, Tomas Fleischmann · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P3 7:25WSHMike KnubleAssists: Nicklas Backstrom · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–4
Penalties (10)
- P1 4:24WSHMike Green: Elbowing2 min
- P1 5:44FLABryan McCabe: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 18:15WSHTom Poti: Tripping2 min
- P2 8:35FLABryan Allen: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:05WSHAlexander Semin: Cross checking2 min
- P2 13:05FLAKeith Ballard: Diving2 min
- P2 16:51WSHBrendan Morrison: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:24FLABryan McCabe: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:48WSHJohn Erskine: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:02WSHMike Knuble: Delaying game smothering puck2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Campbell won the faceoff against Backstrom
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
WSH's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line WSH is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (WSH − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).