Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 30, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

New York Rangers 2, Phoenix Coyotes 3

Away

New York Rangers

2

Final

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.

PHX winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NYR04010212226
PHX31001103324

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 6:06PHXShane DoanAssists: Taylor Pyatt, Vernon Fiddler · Wrist, 0.11 xG0–1
  2. P1 6:47PHXMikkel BoedkerAssists: Robert Lang, Taylor Pyatt · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
  3. P1 14:13PHXSami LepistoGWGAssists: Vernon Fiddler, Daniel Winnik · Slap, 0.05 xG0–3
  4. P3 9:42NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Erik Christensen · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–3
  5. P3 11:50NYRSean AveryAssists: Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–3
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 3:40NYRDan Girardi: Tripping2 min
  2. P2 1:28PHXLauri Korpikoski: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 6:34NYRChris Drury: Slashing2 min
  4. P2 9:07NYRMarian Gaborik: Boarding2 min
  5. P2 13:52NYRMichal Rozsival: Interference2 min
  6. P2 17:38NYRMichal Rozsival: Slashing2 min
  7. P2 17:59PHXPetr Prucha: Hooking2 min
  8. P3 3:44NYRErik Christensen: Hooking2 min
  9. P3 13:48PHXTaylor Pyatt: Hooking2 min
  10. P3 18:05NYRMichal Rozsival: High sticking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Prospal
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRPHX
26Shots on goal24
1.8Expected goals2.5
57Shot attempts45
27Faceoffs won23
3Power plays7
14Penalty minutes6
38Hits27
12Blocked shots18
3Giveaways3
1Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 2.5 xGNYR 1.8 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXNYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 61/100 · #485 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.87 · 5 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +15 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 63% of the time.

PHX winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).