Sun, Jan 31, 2010·Pepsi Center, Denver
New York Rangers 3, Colorado Avalanche 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NYR | 110 | 112 | 112 | 334 |
| COL | 012 | 05 | 118 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 13:53NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Sean Avery, Artem Anisimov · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P2 4:57NYRMarian GaborikGWGAssists: Vinny Prospal, Marc Staal · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P3 9:17NYRMarian GaborikAssists: Vinny Prospal, Dan Girardi · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P3 12:39COLCody McLeodAssists: Kyle Quincey, Justin Mercier · Backhand, 0.41 xG3–1
Penalties (14)
- P1 1:13COLKyle Cumiskey: Hooking2 min
- P1 1:13COLCraig Anderson: Tripping2 min
- P1 2:53NYRRyan Callahan: Hooking2 min
- P1 5:05COLBrandon Yip: Interference2 min
- P1 5:21NYRAaron Voros: Interference2 min
- P1 11:01COLCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:01NYRAaron Voros: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:29NYRMarian Gaborik: Interference2 min
- P2 0:26COLWojtek Wolski: Holding2 min
- P2 8:06COLChris Durno: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:47NYRSean Avery: Tripping2 min
- P3 0:23NYRMarian Gaborik: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:06NYRVinny Prospal: Delaying game2 min
- P3 17:56COLPaul Stastny: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Christensen
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
COL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line COL is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (COL − NYR), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).