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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 5, 2010·United Center, Chicago

Phoenix Coyotes 2, Chicago Blackhawks 1 (SO)

Away

Phoenix Coyotes

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.

CHI winsPHX wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
PHX091706002222
CHI1120905031129

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 4:46CHIColin FraserAssists: Duncan Keith, Andrew Ladd · Slap, 0.11 xG0–1
  2. P2 16:42PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Keith Yandle, Zbynek Michalek · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–1

Shootout

  1. 1. PHX Robert Lang scored
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
  3. 3. PHX Lauri Korpikoski stopped
  4. 4. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
  5. 5. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
  6. 6. PHX Adrian Aucoin scored
  7. 7. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 7:04PHXEd Jovanovski: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 13:14PHXVernon Fiddler: High sticking2 min
  3. P2 11:50CHIPatrick Sharp: Hooking2 min
  4. P2 12:54PHXAdrian Aucoin: Slashing2 min
  5. P2 14:59CHIAndrew Ladd: Too many men on the ice2 min · PPG
  6. P3 5:02CHICam Barker: High sticking double minor4 min
  7. P3 14:51CHIPatrick Sharp: Interference2 min
  8. OT 4:13PHXZbynek Michalek: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

PHX00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← PHX attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Fiddler won the faceoff against Toews
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

PHXCHI
22Shots on goal29
1.9Expected goals2.8
44Shot attempts54
24Faceoffs won22
5Power plays4
8Penalty minutes10
17Hits17
13Blocked shots12
7Giveaways11
6Takeaways10

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 2.8 xGPHX 1.9 xG
0123P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIPHX

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it PHX. Dots are goals.

Excitement 38/100 · #763 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.30 · 2 goals in reachComeback index 23% (winner's lowest chance)
PHX 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +22 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.

CHI winsPHX wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − PHX), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).