Sat, Feb 6, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Detroit Red Wings 3, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 38 | 04 | 011 | 323 |
| LAK | 08 | 313 | 16 | 427 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:44DETHenrik ZetterbergAssists: Pavel Datsyuk, Brian Rafalski · Tip-in, 0.11 xG1–0
- P1 9:00DETValtteri FilppulaAssists: Daniel Cleary, Todd Bertuzzi · Backhand, 0.10 xG2–0
- P1 19:55DETHenrik ZetterbergAssists: Brian Rafalski, Nicklas Lidstrom · Wrist, 0.31 xG3–0
- P2 9:16LAKAlex FrolovAssists: Scott Parse, Michal Handzus · Wrist, 0.34 xG3–1
- P2 14:47LAKMichal HandzusUnassisted · Backhand, 0.11 xG3–2
- P2 16:21LAKRyan SmythAssists: Wayne Simmonds, Matt Greene · Wrist, 0.22 xG3–3
- P3 17:39LAKMichal HandzusGWGAssists: Scott Parse, Alex Frolov · Wrist, 0.32 xG3–4
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:41LAKDrew Doughty: Hooking2 min
- P1 11:38DETTodd Bertuzzi: Holding2 min
- P1 18:11LAKDrew Doughty: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:53DETJason Williams: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:55DETHenrik Zetterberg: Boarding2 min
- P3 6:47LAKMatt Greene: High sticking2 min
- P3 11:04LAKRob Scuderi: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stoll won the faceoff against Filppula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it DET. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − DET), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).