Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 6, 2010·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Chicago Blackhawks 2, St. Louis Blues 1

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

2

Final

Home

St. Louis Blues

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

STL winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CHI28010012230
STL011014110135

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 5:33CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Jonathan Toews, Marian Hossa · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–0
  2. P1 15:51CHIJonathan ToewsGWGAssists: Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp · Snap, 0.13 xG2–0
  3. P3 18:14STLAlexander SteenPPAssists: David Perron, T.J. Oshie · Slap, 0.11 xG2–1
Penalties (18)
  1. P1 7:20STLBrad Winchester: High sticking2 min
  2. P1 9:49CHIDuncan Keith: Slashing2 min
  3. P1 12:29STLBarret Jackman: Fighting5 min
  4. P1 12:29CHICam Barker: Fighting5 min
  5. P1 17:53STLEric Brewer: Fighting5 min
  6. P1 17:53CHIAndrew Ladd: Fighting5 min
  7. P2 4:11STLBrad Winchester: Interference2 min
  8. P2 7:37CHIMarian Hossa: High sticking2 min
  9. P2 8:43STLKeith Tkachuk: Interference2 min
  10. P2 9:14CHIDave Bolland: Tripping2 min
  11. P2 14:45CHIAndrew Ladd: Holding2 min
  12. P2 16:04CHIBrent Sopel: Delaying game2 min
  13. P2 18:21STLCarlo Colaiacovo: Tripping2 min
  14. P3 1:42CHINiklas Hjalmarsson: Holding2 min
  15. P3 6:08STLEric Brewer: Interference2 min
  16. P3 15:01STLAlexander Steen: Tripping2 min
  17. P3 17:22CHIBrian Campbell: Hooking2 min · PPG
  18. P3 17:58CHIBrent Sopel: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0STL
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackSTL attack →
  1. P1 20:00Tkachuk won the faceoff against Madden
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHISTL
30Shots on goal35
3.5Expected goals3.0
46Shot attempts57
31Faceoffs won27
5Power plays8
26Penalty minutes22
18Hits28
14Blocked shots8
4Giveaways8
10Takeaways9

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

STL 3.0 xGCHI 3.5 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

STLCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 13/100 · #1072 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.85 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50STL 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +15 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 58% of the time.

STL winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (STL − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).