Skip to content
Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 8, 2010·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale

Edmonton Oilers 1, Phoenix Coyotes 6

Away

Edmonton Oilers

1

Final

Home

Phoenix Coyotes

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 74% of the time.

PHX winsEDM wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
EDM01309112134
PHX212210211633

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 9:58PHXEd JovanovskiAssists: Robert Lang, Matthew Lombardi · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
  2. P1 19:29PHXMatthew LombardiGWGAssists: Shane Doan, Robert Lang · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–2
  3. P2 1:11PHXMatthew LombardiAssists: Jim Vandermeer, Shane Doan · Slap, 0.04 xG0–3
  4. P2 5:48PHXJim VandermeerAssists: Matthew Lombardi, Martin Hanzal · Slap, 0.03 xG0–4
  5. P3 4:19PHXRadim VrbataAssists: Matthew Lombardi · Backhand, 0.14 xG0–5
  6. P3 11:40PHXRobert LangAssists: Taylor Pyatt · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–6
  7. P3 15:32EDMDustin PennerAssists: Robert Nilsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG1–6
Penalties (10)
  1. P1 5:52PHXPaul Bissonnette: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  2. P1 6:45PHXZbynek Michalek: Holding2 min
  3. P1 16:00PHXAdrian Aucoin: Interference2 min
  4. P2 10:04EDMDustin Penner: High sticking double minor4 min
  5. P3 2:16PHXRobert Lang: Hooking2 min
  6. P3 8:45EDMJason Strudwick: Fighting5 min
  7. P3 8:45PHXPaul Bissonnette: Fighting5 min
  8. P3 12:38EDMShawn Horcoff: Hooking2 min
  9. P3 12:38PHXPetr Prucha: Fighting5 min
  10. P3 12:38EDMMike Comrie: Fighting5 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

EDM00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0PHX
43% to win57% to win
← EDM attackPHX attack →
  1. P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Potulny
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

EDMPHX
34Shots on goal33
3.2Expected goals1.7
57Shot attempts48
34Faceoffs won30
4Power plays3
16Penalty minutes18
33Hits18
9Blocked shots11
4Giveaways3
3Takeaways2

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

PHX 1.7 xGEDM 3.2 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

PHXEDM

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.

Excitement 13/100 · #1059 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.53 · 4 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
EDM 100%5050%50PHX 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 74% of the time.

PHX winsEDM wins

Simulated goal difference (PHX − EDM), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).