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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 10, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

San Jose Sharks 0, Columbus Blue Jackets 3

Away

San Jose Sharks

0

Final

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.

CBJ winsSJS wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
SJS09011020040
CBJ181419321

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 13:18CBJRick NashGWGAssists: Kristian Huselius, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–1
  2. P2 8:40CBJJakub VoracekAssists: Derick Brassard, Raffi Torres · Backhand, 0.13 xG0–2
  3. P3 19:36CBJAntoine VermetteENAssists: Jan Hejda · Wrist, 0.72 xG0–3
Penalties (7)
  1. P1 8:33CBJJared Boll: Elbowing2 min
  2. P1 15:49SJSJoe Thornton: Tripping2 min
  3. P2 6:20CBJKristian Huselius: Boarding2 min
  4. P2 9:35CBJDerek Dorsett: Holding2 min
  5. P2 13:26SJSRyane Clowe: Too many men on the ice2 min
  6. P2 17:12SJSBrad Staubitz: Tripping2 min
  7. P3 7:40SJSRob Blake: Hooking2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

SJS00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← SJS attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Pavelski
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

SJSCBJ
40Shots on goal21
2.4Expected goals3.2
69Shot attempts38
29Faceoffs won29
3Power plays4
8Penalty minutes6
22Hits36
7Blocked shots15
0Giveaways4
2Takeaways4

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 3.2 xGSJS 2.4 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJSJS

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it SJS. Dots are goals.

Excitement 4/100 · #1175 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.57 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 55% (winner's lowest chance)
SJS 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 63% of the time.

CBJ winsSJS wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − SJS), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).