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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise

Vancouver Canucks 3, Florida Panthers 0

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Home

Florida Panthers

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.

FLA winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
VAN014211110335
FLA01008013031

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 1:18VANAlexandre BurrowsGWGAssists: Henrik Sedin, Alexander Edler · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–0
  2. P2 18:10VANJannik HansenSHAssists: Sami Salo · Wrist, 0.10 xG2–0
  3. P3 15:57VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Mikael Samuelsson, Alexander Edler · Tip-in, 0.46 xG3–0
Penalties (15)
  1. P1 9:05FLAKamil Kreps: Hooking2 min
  2. P1 13:16FLANick Tarnasky: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 13:16VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
  4. P1 14:43VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  5. P1 18:39FLABryan Allen: Hooking2 min
  6. P2 2:39FLARostislav Olesz: Abusive language2 min
  7. P2 3:46VANMikael Samuelsson: Slashing2 min
  8. P2 4:01VANShane O'Brien: Tripping2 min
  9. P2 5:10FLAMichael Frolik: Too many men on the ice2 min
  10. P2 8:56VANBrad Lukowich: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  11. P2 10:27FLAStephen Weiss: Slashing2 min
  12. P2 17:08VANShane O'Brien: Holding2 min
  13. P3 11:01VANShane O'Brien: Interference2 min
  14. P3 12:58VANRyan Kesler: Slashing2 min
  15. P3 14:01FLARadek Dvorak: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0FLA
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackFLA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Weiss won the faceoff against Kesler
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANFLA
35Shots on goal31
3.3Expected goals2.1
63Shot attempts65
30Faceoffs won30
6Power plays7
19Penalty minutes17
21Hits27
16Blocked shots13
0Giveaways3
1Takeaways3

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

FLA 2.1 xGVAN 3.3 xG
0123P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

FLAVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 11/100 · #1088 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.86 · 3 goals in reachComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50FLA 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +19 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 71% of the time.

FLA winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (FLA − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).