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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 11, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles

Edmonton Oilers 3, Los Angeles Kings 2 (SO)

Away

Edmonton Oilers

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Los Angeles Kings

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.

LAK winsEDM wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
EDM071618024323
LAK07013218053243

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P2 13:38EDMDenis GrebeshkovAssists: Steve Staios, Ethan Moreau · Tip-in, 0.03 xG1–0
  2. P3 7:47EDMDustin PennerPPAssists: Robert Nilsson, Lubomir Visnovsky · Snap, 0.03 xG2–0
  3. P3 11:05LAKDustin BrownAssists: Rob Scuderi, Drew Doughty · Backhand, 0.21 xG2–1
  4. P3 15:12LAKRyan SmythAssists: Dustin Brown, Anze Kopitar · Backhand, 0.14 xG2–2

Shootout

  1. 1. LAK Anze Kopitar scored
  2. 2. EDM Patrick O'Sullivan stopped
  3. 3. LAK Jack Johnson stopped
  4. 4. EDM Ryan Potulny stopped
  5. 5. LAK Dustin Brown stopped
  6. 6. EDM Shawn Horcoff scored
  7. 7. LAK Ryan Smyth stopped
  8. 8. EDM Robert Nilsson stopped
  9. 9. LAK Jarret Stoll stopped
  10. 10. EDM Mike Comrie stopped
  11. 11. LAK Drew Doughty stopped
  12. 12. EDM Marc-Antoine Pouliot stopped
  13. 13. LAK Wayne Simmonds scored
  14. 14. EDM Dustin Penner scored
  15. 15. LAK Brad Richardson stopped
  16. 16. EDM Fernando Pisani stopped
  17. 17. LAK Michal Handzus scored
  18. 18. EDM Gilbert Brule scored
  19. 19. LAK Alex Frolov stopped
  20. 20. EDM Lubomir Visnovsky scored
Penalties (12)
  1. P1 6:46EDMEthan Moreau: Tripping2 min
  2. P1 9:59EDMRobert Nilsson: Hooking2 min
  3. P1 12:37LAKWayne Simmonds: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 18:58LAKDustin Brown: Interference2 min
  5. P1 19:11EDMRyan Potulny: Interference2 min
  6. P2 9:08EDMMarc-Antoine Pouliot: Hooking2 min
  7. P2 15:40EDMDenis Grebeshkov: Tripping2 min
  8. P2 17:20LAKJack Johnson: Holding2 min
  9. P3 7:19LAKAnze Kopitar: Holding2 min · PPG
  10. P3 18:11LAKDrew Doughty: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  11. P3 18:11EDMJeff Deslauriers: Roughing2 min
  12. OT 1:39EDMSteve Staios: Tripping2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

EDM00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0LAK
43% to win57% to win
← EDM attackLAK attack →
  1. P1 20:00Potulny won the faceoff against Handzus
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

EDMLAK
23Shots on goal43
2.1Expected goals3.4
52Shot attempts68
33Faceoffs won29
4Power plays6
14Penalty minutes10
20Hits21
7Blocked shots13
8Giveaways18
6Takeaways5

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

LAK 3.4 xGEDM 2.1 xG
01234P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

LAKEDM

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.

Excitement 74/100 · #284 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.84 · 4 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
EDM 100%5050%50LAK 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +37 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 73% of the time.

LAK winsEDM wins

Simulated goal difference (LAK − EDM), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).