Sat, Feb 13, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Colorado Avalanche 0, Los Angeles Kings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 61% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| COL | 04 | 012 | 06 | 022 |
| LAK | 09 | 16 | 28 | 323 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 11:19LAKBrad RichardsonGWGAssists: Rob Scuderi, Rich Clune · Tip-in, 0.14 xG0–1
- P3 3:48LAKAnze KopitarPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Drew Doughty · Snap, 0.04 xG0–2
- P3 7:02LAKOscar MollerAssists: Rich Clune, Jack Johnson · Wrist, 0.03 xG0–3
Penalties (11)
- P1 2:29COLCody McLeod: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:29LAKRich Clune: Fighting5 min
- P1 10:47COLBrandon Yip: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:15LAKRich Clune: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:04COLRyan Wilson: Roughing2 min
- P2 4:57LAKRob Scuderi: Boarding5 min
- P2 11:35LAKRaitis Ivanans: Roughing2 min
- P2 11:35COLChris Durno: Interference2 min
- P2 11:35COLChris Durno: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:40COLChris Durno: Boarding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:44LAKRandy Jones: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Stastny won the faceoff against Stoll
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it COL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 61% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − COL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).