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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 14, 2010·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Chicago Blackhawks 5, Columbus Blue Jackets 4 (SO)

Away

Chicago Blackhawks

5

Final

Shootout

Home

Columbus Blue Jackets

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsCHI wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3OTSOTotal
CHI1193805052537
CBJ2511018011424

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 11:11CBJKristian HuseliusAssists: Antoine Vermette, Milan Jurcina · Snap, 0.10 xG0–1
  2. P1 13:19CBJRaffi TorresAssists: Jakub Voracek, Derick Brassard · Backhand, 0.17 xG0–2
  3. P1 19:54CHIPatrick KanePPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
  4. P2 3:07CHIBryan BickellAssists: Jake Dowell, Jordan Hendry · Snap, 0.17 xG2–2
  5. P2 12:42CHIJake DowellAssists: Troy Brouwer, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–2
  6. P2 13:59CHIPatrick SharpAssists: Jonathan Toews, Tomas Kopecky · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–2
  7. P2 17:44CBJRick NashPPAssists: R.J. Umberger, Kristian Huselius · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–3
  8. P3 7:58CBJFedor TyutinAssists: Kris Russell, Freddy Modin · Slap, 0.03 xG4–4

Shootout

  1. 1. CBJ Jakub Voracek stopped
  2. 2. CHI Jonathan Toews stopped
  3. 3. CBJ Rick Nash stopped
  4. 4. CHI Patrick Kane scored
  5. 5. CBJ Kristian Huselius scored
  6. 6. CHI Patrick Sharp stopped
  7. 7. CBJ Antoine Vermette stopped
  8. 8. CHI Troy Brouwer scored
Penalties (14)
  1. P1 2:23CHIDustin Byfuglien: Boarding2 min
  2. P1 5:03CBJChris Clark: Holding the stick2 min
  3. P1 8:10CBJChris Clark: Hooking2 min
  4. P1 18:45CBJJakub Voracek: Tripping2 min · PPG
  5. P2 5:27CHIDave Bolland: Tripping2 min
  6. P2 17:32CHIKim Johnsson: Holding the stick2 min · PPG
  7. P2 18:01CBJKris Russell: Hooking2 min
  8. P2 18:43CHIDuncan Keith: Interference2 min
  9. P3 5:09CHITroy Brouwer: Instigator face shield2 min
  10. P3 5:09CHITroy Brouwer: Instigator2 min
  11. P3 5:09CHITroy Brouwer: Fighting5 min
  12. P3 5:09CBJAnton Stralman: Fighting5 min
  13. P3 5:09CHITroy Brouwer: Instigator misconduct10 min
  14. P3 18:48CBJRaffi Torres: Roughing2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CHI00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CBJ
43% to win57% to win
← CHI attackCBJ attack →
  1. P1 20:00Fraser won the faceoff against Murray
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CHICBJ
37Shots on goal24
2.3Expected goals2.1
63Shot attempts38
25Faceoffs won27
5Power plays6
27Penalty minutes15
19Hits26
8Blocked shots16
1Giveaways2
4Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CBJ 2.1 xGCHI 2.3 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3OTEndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CBJCHI

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.

Excitement 93/100 · #63 of 1230 this seasonSwing 2.32 · 8 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 15% (winner's lowest chance)
CHI 100%5050%50CBJ 100%P1P2P3OTEndBiggest swing +29 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 53% of the time.

CBJ winsCHI wins

Simulated goal difference (CBJ − CHI), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).