Wed, Mar 3, 2010·BankAtlantic Center, Sunrise
Philadelphia Flyers 4, Florida Panthers 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 06 | 316 | 120 | 442 |
| FLA | 214 | 417 | 112 | 743 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:12FLASteve ReinprechtAssists: Cory Stillman · Tip-in, 0.08 xG0–1
- P1 18:16FLAMichael FrolikPPAssists: Jason Garrison, Keith Ballard · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–2
- P2 8:03PHIDaniel BrièrePPAssists: Scott Hartnell, Jeff Carter · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–2
- P2 12:04FLADavid BoothAssists: Keith Ballard, Bryan McCabe · Slap, 0.03 xG1–3
- P2 12:16PHIJeff CarterPPAssists: Mike Richards, Chris Pronger · Tip-in, 0.29 xG2–3
- P2 12:40FLAJason GarrisonAssists: Shawn Matthias, Bryan Allen · Snap, 0.04 xG2–4
- P2 15:01FLAStephen WeissPPGWGAssists: Bryan McCabe, David Booth · Wrist, 0.06 xG2–5
- P2 17:40FLAMichael FrolikAssists: Bryan McCabe, David Booth · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–6
- P2 19:41PHIVille LeinoAssists: Blair Betts, Chris Pronger · Backhand, 0.06 xG3–6
- P3 10:40PHIRyan ParentAssists: Blair Betts, Ian Laperriere · Snap, 0.25 xG4–6
- P3 19:16FLABryan McCabeENAssists: David Booth, Gregory Campbell · Wrist, 0.56 xG4–7
Penalties (21)
- P1 0:03PHIIan Laperriere: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:03FLAGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:05FLANick Tarnasky: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:05PHIArron Asham: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:45FLADavid Booth: Fighting5 min
- P1 2:45PHIMike Richards: Fighting5 min
- P1 3:03FLAKeith Ballard: Holding2 min
- P1 11:29PHIIan Laperriere: Hooking2 min
- P1 13:28PHIChris Pronger: High sticking2 min
- P1 16:45PHIArron Asham: Fighting5 min · PPG
- P1 16:45FLANick Tarnasky: Fighting5 min
- P1 16:54PHIBraydon Coburn: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:47PHILukas Krajicek: Hooking2 min
- P2 7:33FLABryan Allen: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:27PHIScott Hartnell: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:27FLABryan Allen: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:07FLABryan McCabe: Interference2 min
- P2 14:21PHIDaniel Carcillo: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P3 0:35PHIScott Hartnell: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:26FLAStephen Weiss: Tripping2 min
- P3 19:59PHIRyan Parent: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Betts won the faceoff against Matthias
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
FLA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line FLA is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (FLA − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).