Wed, Mar 3, 2010·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Vancouver Canucks 6, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 214 | 311 | 18 | 633 |
| DET | 112 | 19 | 110 | 331 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:34VANRyan KeslerAssists: Mason Raymond, Aaron Rome · Snap, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 14:50DETJason WilliamsAssists: Henrik Zetterberg, Todd Bertuzzi · Slap, 0.03 xG1–1
- P1 16:20VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–1
- P2 1:47DETHenrik ZetterbergAssists: Andreas Lilja · Snap, 0.06 xG2–2
- P2 7:11VANKyle WellwoodAssists: Aaron Rome · Snap, 0.09 xG3–2
- P2 11:33VANSami SaloGWGAssists: Pavol Demitra, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.01 xG4–2
- P2 17:30VANMikael SamuelssonAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–2
- P3 6:35VANRyan KeslerPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Christian Ehrhoff · Tip-in, 0.21 xG6–2
- P3 15:13DETJohan FranzenPPAssists: Pavel Datsyuk, Brian Rafalski · Snap, 0.25 xG6–3
Penalties (8)
- P1 5:24DETDrew Miller: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 3:30DETPavel Datsyuk: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:30VANAlexandre Burrows: Holding2 min
- P2 11:27DETNiklas Kronwall: Hooking2 min
- P2 14:36VANTanner Glass: Hooking2 min
- P3 5:31DETNiklas Kronwall: Elbowing2 min · PPG
- P3 14:35VANRick Rypien: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 19:30DETAndreas Lilja: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Zetterberg won the faceoff against Kesler
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).