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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 5, 2010·HSBC Arena, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 75% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:47Shot by Stafford, saved by Leighton
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Montador, saved by Leighton
  4. P1 1:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Leighton
  5. P1 1:55Shot by Montador, saved by Leighton
  6. P1 2:14Shot by Torres, saved by Leighton
  7. P1 2:28Shot by Mair, saved by Leighton
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Myers, saved by Leighton
  9. P1 5:07Shot by Betts, saved by Miller
  10. P1 6:57Shot by Gagne, saved by Miller
  11. P1 7:09Shot by Ellis, saved by Leighton
  12. P1 7:19Shot by Lydman, saved by Leighton
  13. P1 7:21Shot by Lydman, saved by Leighton
  14. P1 7:54Shot by Carter, saved by Miller
  15. P1 8:00Shot by Leino, saved by Miller
  16. P1 8:44Shot by Asham, saved by Miller
  17. P1 9:45Shot by Stafford, saved by Leighton
  18. P1 11:01Shot by Leino, saved by Miller
  19. P1 11:09Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  20. P1 12:17Shot by Carle, saved by Miller
  21. P1 12:56Shot by Kaleta, saved by Leighton
  22. P1 13:03Shot by Vanek, saved by Leighton
  23. P1 13:37Shot by Sekera, saved by Leighton
  24. P1 14:08Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  25. P1 15:01Shot by Vanek, saved by Leighton
  26. P1 17:49Shot by Pronger, saved by Miller
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:26Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  30. P2 1:59Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  31. P2 2:53Shot by Grier, saved by Leighton
  32. P2 3:47Shot by Pominville, saved by Leighton
  33. P2 4:01Goal by Gagne (Krajicek, Timonen)+20 pts WP
  34. P2 6:14Goal by Vanek (Connolly, Mair)+20 pts WP
  35. P2 8:28Shot by Carter, saved by Miller
  36. P2 8:30Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  37. P2 9:33Shot by Torres, saved by Leighton
  38. P2 9:36Shot by Grier, saved by Leighton
  39. P2 10:48Shot by Carter, saved by Miller
  40. P2 11:36Shot by Laperriere, saved by Miller
  41. P2 11:48Connolly: Tripping (2 min)
  42. P2 13:22Shot by Carter, saved by Miller4v5
  43. P2 13:53Shot by Connolly, saved by Leighton
  44. P2 15:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Miller
  45. P2 18:55Shot by Laperriere, saved by Miller
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:51Shot by Krajicek, saved by Miller
  49. P3 1:19Shot by Hecht, saved by Leighton
  50. P3 1:20Shot by Hecht, saved by Leighton
  51. P3 3:35Shot by Sekera, saved by Leighton
  52. P3 3:59Parent: Holding (2 min)6v5
  53. P3 4:26Shot by Roy, saved by Leighton5v4
  54. P3 4:28Shot by Connolly, saved by Leighton5v4
  55. P3 4:27Shot by Vanek, saved by Leighton5v4
  56. P3 6:28Shot by Carcillo, saved by Miller
  57. P3 7:01Shot by Mair, saved by Leighton
  58. P3 7:33Shot by Parent, saved by Miller
  59. P3 7:46Shot by Leino, saved by Miller
  60. P3 10:23Shot by Leino, saved by Miller
  61. P3 11:09Goal by Richards, unassisted+32 pts WP
  62. P3 12:29Shot by Kennedy, saved by Leighton
  63. P3 12:58Shot by Brière, saved by Miller
  64. P3 14:02Goal by Mair (Grier)+36 pts WP
  65. P3 14:22Shot by Roy, saved by Leighton
  66. P3 15:53Coburn: Tripping (2 min)
  67. P3 17:15Shot by Betts, saved by Miller5v4
  68. P3 18:26Shot by Pominville, saved by Leighton
  69. P3 18:39Shot by Vanek, saved by Leighton
  70. P3 19:59Shot by Timonen, saved by Miller
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 2:28Shot by Lydman, saved by Leighton4v4
  74. OT 2:31Goal by Connolly (Lydman, Torres)4v4+50 pts WP
  75. OT 2:31Period end