Fri, Mar 5, 2010·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Nashville Predators 2, Detroit Red Wings 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | 05 | 114 | 13 | 222 |
| DET | 211 | 212 | 19 | 532 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:44DETPavel DatsyukUnassisted · Backhand, 0.18 xG0–1
- P1 14:00DETTomas HolmstromPPAssists: Nicklas Lidstrom, Pavel Datsyuk · Tip-in, 0.15 xG0–2
- P2 3:35DETDarren HelmGWGAssists: Patrick Eaves · Snap, 0.10 xG0–3
- P2 9:10DETDarren HelmSHAssists: Niklas Kronwall · Backhand, 0.07 xG0–4
- P2 10:54NSHJ-P DumontAssists: Steve Sullivan · Snap, 0.09 xG1–4
- P3 3:15NSHJoel WardAssists: Dan Hamhuis · Slap, 0.11 xG2–4
- P3 19:56DETHenrik ZetterbergENAssists: Valtteri Filppula, Daniel Cleary · Snap, 0.59 xG2–5
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:19DETTodd Bertuzzi: Tripping2 min
- P1 12:58NSHCal O'Reilly: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 0:19NSHPatric Hornqvist: Tripping2 min
- P2 7:14DETJason Williams: Holding2 min
- P3 5:28DETJohan Franzen: High sticking2 min
- P3 10:43DETBrian Rafalski: High sticking2 min
- P3 13:27NSHFrancis Bouillon: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Legwand won the faceoff against Filppula
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it NSH. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − NSH), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).