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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 5, 2010·United Center, Chicago

Vancouver Canucks 3, Chicago Blackhawks 6

Away

Vancouver Canucks

3

Final

Home

Chicago Blackhawks

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.

CHI winsVAN wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
VAN1111616323
CHI5141604624

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 3:48CHIAndrew LaddAssists: Dustin Byfuglien, Jordan Hendry · Backhand, 0.04 xG0–1
  2. P1 10:22CHIDuncan KeithPPAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Sharp · Slap, 0.12 xG0–2
  3. P1 10:53CHITroy BrouwerAssists: Niklas Hjalmarsson, Marian Hossa · Snap, 0.14 xG0–3
  4. P1 14:09VANRyan KeslerAssists: Pavol Demitra · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–3
  5. P1 15:08CHIKris VersteegGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–4
  6. P1 19:17CHIJordan HendryAssists: Jonathan Toews, Patrick Kane · Backhand, 0.07 xG1–5
  7. P2 2:05VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexander Edler · Slap, 0.06 xG2–5
  8. P2 16:55CHIMarian HossaAssists: Kim Johnsson, Brian Campbell · Snap, 0.03 xG2–6
  9. P3 17:09VANMikael SamuelssonAssists: Andrew Alberts · Tip-in, 0.00 xG3–6
Penalties (19)
  1. P1 0:37CHIAndrew Ladd: Roughing2 min
  2. P1 0:37VANRyan Kesler: Roughing2 min
  3. P1 0:37VANShane O'Brien: Roughing2 min
  4. P1 0:37VANAlexandre Burrows: Roughing2 min
  5. P1 0:37VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
  6. P1 0:37CHIDustin Byfuglien: Roughing2 min
  7. P1 4:14CHITroy Brouwer: Interference2 min
  8. P1 4:38CHIDave Bolland: Roughing2 min
  9. P1 7:47VANTanner Glass: High sticking2 min
  10. P1 9:46CHIBrent Seabrook: Fighting5 min
  11. P1 9:46VANAndrew Alberts: Fighting5 min · PPG
  12. P1 9:46VANAndrew Alberts: Interference2 min
  13. P2 2:07CHIBen Eager: High sticking2 min
  14. P2 5:19CHIBen Eager: Fighting5 min
  15. P2 5:19VANTanner Glass: Fighting5 min
  16. P2 14:54VANJannik Hansen: Tripping2 min
  17. P3 2:39VANTanner Glass: Boarding2 min
  18. P3 3:25CHIMarian Hossa: Slashing2 min
  19. P3 11:28VANAlexandre Burrows: Interference2 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

VAN00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0CHI
43% to win57% to win
← VAN attackCHI attack →
  1. P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Madden
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

VANCHI
23Shots on goal24
1.6Expected goals2.6
40Shot attempts41
30Faceoffs won35
4Power plays7
28Penalty minutes22
28Hits23
13Blocked shots7
3Giveaways4
6Takeaways11

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

CHI 2.6 xGVAN 1.6 xG
00.511.522.5P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

CHIVAN

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.

Excitement 51/100 · #591 of 1230 this seasonSwing 0.76 · 7 goals in reachComeback index 56% (winner's lowest chance)
VAN 100%5050%50CHI 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +15 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 69% of the time.

CHI winsVAN wins

Simulated goal difference (CHI − VAN), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).