Sat, Mar 6, 2010·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Montréal Canadiens 4, Los Angeles Kings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 66% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 114 | 18 | 23 | 425 |
| LAK | 111 | 05 | 19 | 225 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:22MTLBrian GiontaAssists: Benoit Pouliot, Scott Gomez · Wrist, 0.42 xG1–0
- P1 18:16LAKAnze KopitarAssists: Jack Johnson, Ryan Smyth · Backhand, 0.15 xG1–1
- P2 4:43MTLDominic MooreSHAssists: Andrei Markov, Ryan O'Byrne · Slap, 0.02 xG2–1
- P3 0:36MTLBenoit PouliotGWGAssists: Scott Gomez, Brian Gionta · Wrist, 0.15 xG3–1
- P3 7:12LAKFreddy ModinAssists: Michal Handzus, Randy Jones · Backhand, 0.14 xG3–2
- P3 18:49MTLTomas PlekanecENAssists: Sergei Kostitsyn · Wrist, 0.67 xG4–2
Penalties (7)
- P1 12:45LAKRich Clune: Fighting5 min
- P1 12:45MTLRyan O'Byrne: Fighting5 min
- P1 13:25MTLTom Pyatt: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:50MTLJaroslav Spacek: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:14MTLAndrei Markov: Interference2 min
- P2 11:59MTLRyan O'Byrne: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 14:38LAKRandy Jones: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gomez won the faceoff against Kopitar
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 66% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).