Tue, Mar 9, 2010·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Florida Panthers 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FLA | 012 | 09 | 210 | 00 | 1 | 331 |
| MIN | 24 | 03 | 02 | 02 | 0 | 211 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:01MINMikko KoivuPPAssists: Cam Barker, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–1
- P1 11:01MINRobbie EarlAssists: Nick Schultz · Wrist, 0.06 xG0–2
- P3 2:02FLAMichael FrolikAssists: Bryan McCabe, David Booth · Snap, 0.17 xG1–2
- P3 10:40FLACory StillmanAssists: Steve Reinprecht · Snap, 0.04 xG2–2
Shootout
- 1. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 2. FLA Stephen Weiss stopped
- 3. MIN Owen Nolan stopped
- 4. FLA David Booth stopped
- 5. MIN Marek Zidlicky stopped
- 6. FLA Kamil Kreps stopped
- 7. MIN Guillaume Latendresse stopped
- 8. FLA Cory Stillman scored
Penalties (7)
- P1 1:19FLABryan McCabe: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 5:43MINMarek Zidlicky: Holding the stick2 min
- P1 19:14MINCam Barker: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:28MINNick Schultz: High sticking2 min
- P2 10:09MINBrent Burns: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:46FLABryan McCabe: Roughing2 min
- P2 17:46MINMartin Havlat: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Brodziak won the faceoff against Matthias
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it FLA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − FLA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).