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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 9, 2010·Honda Center, Anaheim

Columbus Blue Jackets 5, Anaheim Ducks 2

Away

Columbus Blue Jackets

5

Final

Home

Anaheim Ducks

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.

ANA winsCBJ wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
CBJ11021524529
ANA010011217238

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 8:55CBJDerek DorsettAssists: Antoine Vermette, Mike Blunden · Wrist, 0.32 xG1–0
  2. P2 8:14CBJJakub VoracekPPAssists: Fedor Tyutin, Anton Stralman · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–0
  3. P2 13:07CBJFedor TyutinGWGAssists: Jakub Voracek, R.J. Umberger · Wrist, 0.02 xG3–0
  4. P3 9:11ANALubomir VisnovskyAssists: Bobby Ryan, Ryan Getzlaf · Slap, 0.05 xG3–1
  5. P3 14:56ANARyan GetzlafAssists: Bobby Ryan, Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.07 xG3–2
  6. P3 18:02CBJAntoine VermettePPAssists: Jakub Voracek, Fedor Tyutin · Wrist, 0.26 xG4–2
  7. P3 19:43CBJDerick BrassardPPAssists: Antoine Vermette, Kris Russell · Slap, 0.06 xG5–2
Penalties (24)
  1. P1 8:55ANAMatt Beleskey: Fighting5 min
  2. P1 8:55CBJDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 10:00CBJDerick Brassard: Slashing2 min
  4. P1 13:35CBJChris Clark: Fighting5 min
  5. P1 13:35ANAMike Brown: Fighting5 min
  6. P1 17:29CBJMarc Methot: Roughing2 min
  7. P2 7:03ANASheldon Brookbank: Cross checking2 min · PPG
  8. P2 15:22ANABobby Ryan: Interference goalkeeper2 min
  9. P2 16:34CBJDerick Brassard: High sticking2 min
  10. P2 17:33ANARyan Getzlaf: Slashing2 min
  11. P2 17:33CBJMarc Methot: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  12. P2 18:50CBJChris Clark: Tripping2 min
  13. P2 19:29ANAJason Blake: High sticking2 min
  14. P2 0:00ANARyan Getzlaf: Fighting5 min
  15. P2 0:00ANABobby Ryan: Roughing2 min
  16. P2 0:00CBJR.J. Umberger: Roughing2 min
  17. P2 0:00CBJR.J. Umberger: Roughing2 min
  18. P2 0:00CBJFedor Tyutin: Fighting5 min
  19. P3 1:11ANAScott Niedermayer: Boarding2 min
  20. P3 7:36ANAJames Wisniewski: Interference2 min
  21. P3 7:47CBJFedor Tyutin: Holding2 min
  22. P3 10:34CBJJan Hejda: Tripping2 min
  23. P3 17:29ANASaku Koivu: Hooking2 min · PPG
  24. P3 19:38ANAScott Niedermayer: Hooking2 min · PPG

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

CBJ00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0ANA
43% to win57% to win
← CBJ attackANA attack →
  1. P1 20:00Brassard won the faceoff against Getzlaf
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

CBJANA
29Shots on goal38
4.1Expected goals3.2
53Shot attempts64
28Faceoffs won33
6Power plays7
33Penalty minutes33
31Hits26
12Blocked shots9
5Giveaways8
4Takeaways1

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

ANA 3.2 xGCBJ 4.1 xG
01234P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

ANACBJ

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.

Excitement 69/100 · #360 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.07 · 7 goals in reach · 2-goal lead cutComeback index 43% (winner's lowest chance)
CBJ 100%5050%50ANA 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +16 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, Columbus Blue Jackets win this game 64% of the time.

ANA winsCBJ wins

Simulated goal difference (ANA − CBJ), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).