Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 10, 2010·Prudential Center, Newark

New York Rangers 3, New Jersey Devils 6

Away

New York Rangers

3

Final

Home

New Jersey Devils

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.

NJD winsNYR wins

By period

Goals and shots on goal in each period.

TeamP1P2P3Total
NYR162706319
NJD2831316627

Goals, with shots on goal in grey.

Scoring

Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.

  1. P1 4:16NJDRob NiedermayerAssists: Brian Rolston, Mike Mottau · Wrist, 0.23 xG0–1
  2. P1 5:13NYRVinny ProspalAssists: Marian Gaborik, Olli Jokinen · Wrist, 0.20 xG1–1
  3. P1 18:17NJDBryce SalvadorAssists: Andy Greene, Jamie Langenbrunner · Deflected, 0.01 xG1–2
  4. P2 5:01NYRErik ChristensenAssists: Brandon Dubinsky, Dan Girardi · Wrist, 0.14 xG2–2
  5. P2 8:38NJDZach ParisePPAssists: Dainius Zubrus, Travis Zajac · Backhand, 0.18 xG2–3
  6. P2 9:15NYRBrandon PrustAssists: Jody Shelley · Wrist, 0.30 xG3–3
  7. P2 13:06NJDJamie LangenbrunnerGWGAssists: Mike Mottau, Andy Greene · Wrist, 0.11 xG3–4
  8. P2 15:19NJDBrian RolstonAssists: Rob Niedermayer, David Clarkson · Tip-in, 0.12 xG3–5
  9. P3 16:21NJDTravis ZajacAssists: Dainius Zubrus, Colin White · Slap, 0.07 xG3–6
Penalties (8)
  1. P1 7:47NJDDainius Zubrus: Roughing2 min
  2. P1 18:21NYRJody Shelley: Fighting5 min
  3. P1 18:21NJDPierre-Luc Letourneau-Leblond: Fighting5 min
  4. P2 5:54NJDZach Parise: Interference2 min
  5. P2 8:23NYRWade Redden: Hooking2 min · PPG
  6. P2 19:53NJDTravis Zajac: Tripping2 min
  7. P3 2:53NYRJody Shelley: Interference2 min
  8. P3 17:13NYRJody Shelley: Misconduct10 min

Replay

Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.

NYR00 SOG · 0.0 xG

20:00

P1

0.0 xG · 0 SOG0NJD
43% to win57% to win
← NYR attackNJD attack →
  1. P1 20:00Niedermayer won the faceoff against Anisimov
  • Goal
  • Shot
  • Miss
  • Block
  • Hit
  • Takeaway
  • Giveaway
  • Faceoff
  • Penalty

The numbers

Team totals, side by side.

NYRNJD
19Shots on goal27
2.1Expected goals2.2
34Shot attempts41
25Faceoffs won28
3Power plays2
19Penalty minutes11
22Hits32
6Blocked shots7
2Giveaways14
3Takeaways6

How the game flowed

Model-based

Chance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.

Expected goals flow

Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.

NJD 2.2 xGNYR 2.1 xG
00.511.52P1P2P3EndxG

Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute

NJDNYR

Win probability

Model-based

How each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.

Win probability

NJD's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NJD is favoured, below it NYR. Dots are goals.

Excitement 78/100 · #226 of 1230 this seasonSwing 1.68 · 9 goals in reachComeback index 53% (winner's lowest chance)
NYR 100%5050%50NJD 100%P1P2P3EndBiggest swing +21 pts

Did the better team win?

Model-based

Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.

Based on shot quality alone, New Jersey Devils win this game 52% of the time.

NJD winsNYR wins

Simulated goal difference (NJD − NYR), 10,000 replays

-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
+1
+2
+3
+4
+5
+6
+7

The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).